Value chances 16/12

Just putting up some double figure (or close to) chances today that look decent hopes. One that isn’t but might drift is R7 Doomben MONSIEUR GUSTAVE. Another test for him today up in weight and drawn wide but he just might be the toughest horse going around right now. If he can win this today he just might be the Northerly of the sprinting ranks. I think he can prevail again.

Doomben R6 HAVASAY was stellar last campaign winning 4 straight and running a couple of very slick times. Prior to that he had been a very disappointing horse.  First up at a 1000m might suit and he won a trial in preparation. I’d rather back an $8.50 shot first up than a $3.80 one in All Over Bosanova, who admittedly looks very hard to beat.

Randwick R6 PERIBSEN is an interesting French import not asked to do anything in his 2 trials here. By Lonhro so might adapt well to our racing. Looking back at his form he finished alongside Marmelo one day at level weights. Barrier makes it tough for him and he might need it wet, but at least there is some give in the track at the time of writing and he has one of the best jockeys in Sydney aboard.

R7 SALSONIC really appeals to me here looking primed fourth up after steady improvement each run this campaign. I’d advise to watch his last run, and his Guineas win at Doomben last Winter. That day he was 7L last at the 1000m. I can’t remember a horse winning from that far back at Doomben ever. Probably needs a truly run race which is some concern here. For that reason I’ve saved on Cabeza De Vaca who looks well weighted on his wins against Embley and Classic Uniform last preparation. Just have to forgive the last effort when he was very easy in the betting and pulled up mildly lame. He will be right on the pace and $8+ seems decent value.

R8 PALAZZO PUBBLICO is a bit hard to catch but she looks very well in here off her last run against Ball Of Muscle. That ties in well weights wise versus The Monstar and Calanda and apparently she has trialled well in preparation.

Caulfield R5 SHENANDOAH is not a horse I’m really familiar with but she has the Blinkers going on today. The first time they were applied she won her only race to date and there might have been a bit of money for her overnight. Now into $8 and $11 was available late yesterday.

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