Derby Day 2022

Have to have a go today and hopefully one or two of these come up trumps. Good prices as you would expect on a day with such depth.

Flemington R6 NETTUNO was very good in a jumpout recently at Flemington and he comes here off a Randwick Heavy track failure which can be totally forgiven because so many horses don’t seem to handle it at all. $27 gets me in.

R8 SHE’SLICKETYSPLIT– Ran very similar time to the older mares last start on the same day and distance. Pre race the trainer mentioned this race and wasn’t going to be perturbed even if she didn’t win the Thousand Guineas. He did mention she would be better suited to the bigger track at Flemington. Here she is dropping 7kg but against another gun female from NZ (La Crique). The price difference is stark though so I’m keen to take he on first start across the Tasman. Improving track (at this stage is a bonus) as is the $8.50-$9 price. I have also made mention of KIKU on Twitter who comes into that Randwick Heavy track failure system. Worth a flutter at $27 or so.

Randwick R7- PRIVATE EYE is getting out to a silly price now. I think the reason for that is this race being at Rosehill and not Randwick. But it has won here on a dry track at 1350m. Two failures have been on wet tracks which isn’t ideal for him. The other was in the Golden Eagle this day last year when he was trapped hopelessly wide the whole race and was beaten less than four lengths. He was super last start in The Everest on a least favoured surface and the start prior he was outstanding down the straight at Flemington. His time there was better than any time Nature Strip has posted at 1200m there.

GYPSY GODDESS is 2/2 first up and 5/5 on dry tracks (thanks to @Trev781 for that) and has a touch of class. The fact she has drawn well is obviously a bonus. This is such a tough race though and I’m also on the import WELWAL (super value with hie El Bodegon/Ornesto/Vedani form) and the Waller mare FANGIRL who hates the Randwick Heavy and returns to a more suitable dry track today. I could name another eight horses I like but I just thought the stats for GG had to be pointed out.

Ascot R8 LAST OF THE LINE comes into this race second up and is 3/3 given that scenario. The stable have had a big opinion of him for a while and he hasn’t delivered yet. Today might be the day for him because the two favourites have drawn very wide and so have a couple of others. I have backed TRIX OF THE TRADE also, It’s win first up was incredible. It’s very hard to win at this track from where he is drawn though. $10 is really good value for him if he can take advantage of that barrier.

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