Racing 18/06

It was a good week last week but the last time I did one of these posts it was a bit of a disaster. Anyway you have to be in it to win It I guess. Can’t say I’m full of confidence about these but there is some value around, later in the day I should add.

Ipswich R6 NORD LYON comes out of a harder race when beaten less than 4 lengths. Arguably quite a bit harder. The fact he drops 5kg to 52kg gets me in at better than double figures. Both Grey Defence and Glorious Ruby have form around him. And most of the form in the race can be matched up tbh. GREY DEFENCE was caught three wide last start and does represent serious value at his price.

R8 LAST CHANCE was a big run last start behind Soxagon when three wide the whole race. They gapped the third horse Salateen that day and she went on to run well in a good mares race. I like the fact he has been freshened and stays at this distance. Some of the bigger name horses here have to come back in trip and a couple are widely drawn. ROMAN AUREUS is a bit of an enigma but his wining form does improve markedly after two runs of a preparation and he does like an inside barrier. He should get the run of the race.

R9 MAJESTIC SHOT was very unlucky last start when cut out by the winner at a crucial time in the straight. She only needs ordinary luck in running today to go close to winning and her price is decent in reality.

Rosehill R8 SOAMI should appreciate a dry track today and ‘rates’ very well in this race. The distance does look problematic but he was beaten 0.3L into fifth one day at Kembla Grange over this trip in the same class on a wet track last preparation. Maybe he is looking for this distance now. The price gets me in at around $26

R9 HASTOBEGOOD is a total engma and you can’t really pick her on form. Back to a dry track though and Blinkers on for Joe Pride you just never know. Her best career win was in Melbourne at her second start in Blinkers on a dry track. She had never won on a dry surface until then. JP has appled them to her once and she failed on a wet track.

R10 As posted on Twitter this morning IMPASSE and SILENT AGENDA seem way overs at better than $40. Both have claims given the timing of their preparations today and this isn’t an overly strong race.

Flemington R6 BIOMETRIC should appreciate a wet surface as he did last start. His overall stats probably don’t suggest it but his recent form is indicative of him needing some cut in the surface now. The winner last went on to bolt in at Swan Hill and looks a possible G1 horse. 1400m is probably the best distance for this horse.

Belmont R7 SEARCHIN’ ROCKS has to be considered now it’s raining and the track is already a Soft 5.. She is 4/4 on wet tracks and 1/1 at 1600m. I think she needs to lift a bit off her recent form and last start but she is better off at the weights and the more it rains the better for her given she is 2/2 on Heavy. The $8.50 does look worth the gamble.

I sincerely hope these do perform up to expectations and if you are having a bet today good luck with your own selections anyway.

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