Historically it’s quite a difficult race to assess but the last 18 winners have been aged 4-6 and 12 of those 18 have drawn a single figure barrier. If my memory serves correct 6 of these winners ran first 4 in the ATC Derby in the Autumn, and that race would still, in my opinion be the best long term guide to his race. As is so often the case in races at Caulfield it is advantageous to be somewhere near the pace, especially on the turn. And if not, a rails run on straightening can be a winning move (Tawqeet 2006, Diatribe 2001, Boom Time 2017).
2020 Verry Eleegant
2019 Mer De Glace
2018 Best Solution
2017 – Boom Time
2016 – Jameka
2015 – Mongolian Khan
2014 – Admire Rakti
2013 – Fawkner
2012 – Dunaden
2011 – Southern Speed
2010 – Descarado
2009 – Viewed
2007 – Master O’Reilly
2006 – Tawqeet
2005 – Railings
2004 – Elvstroem
2003 – Mummify
2002 – Northerly
Four of the past Twelve winners were having their first start in Australia and Five of Twelve had their last start overseas (Dunaden had won the Melbourne Cup the previous year). All The Good, Best Solution, Mer De Glace and Verry Eleegant had won their prior race. In fact Four of the past Five winners won their previous start.
- Seven of the past 12 Caulfield Cups have been won by Australian or New Zealand-trained horses, five of which had their final lead-up run in the Turnbull Stakes;
- 13 of the past 32 Cup winners have come via the Turnbull, nine of which finished top three.
- Boom Time won in 2016 a week after finishing third in the Herbert Power Stakes, just the third horse to win the Cup out of the Herbert Power in the past 30 years;
- Mongolian Khan also won the Cup on a seven-day back-up, out of the Caulfield Stakes, and is the only horse since Mummify (2003) to do so; and
- Favourite backers had a super run between Taufan’s Melody and Boom Time, with half of the 16 editions between 1999 and 2016 won by the favourite; and
- Between 1978 and 1998 just three favourites were successful and seven winners started $21 or longer including three at $51 or better.
- Unlike most handicap races the higher weighted horses have a better strike rate in this. Mer De Glace, Best Solution, Dunaden, Admire Rakti, Fawkner, Viewed and Verry Eleegant carried 55kg or more to win in recent times.
- Between 1988 and 2007 just three horses won with more than 54.5kg, but eight of the past 12 have been won by horses carrying at least 55kg; and
- 52.5kg is the most successful weight in the past Twelve years with three wins, while Boom Time had 52kg.in 2016.
Winning barriers have also been shared around in the last thirteen editions with six winners starting from the inside half of the field and the other seven starting from 10 or wider.
- In the past 30 years, gates three, seven and nine are the most successful Caulfield Cup barriers with four wins a piece; and
- No horse has won from barrier one since Velocity in 1941.
- Four-year-olds are the most successful age group in Caulfield Cup history with Best Solution, Descarado, Southern Speed, Mongolian Khan, Jameka and Mer De Glace horses of that vintage to have won in the past decade. They have a better than 50 per cent record since 1988, having won 17 of the 33 editions;
- Six-year-olds have been the equal-most-successful age group in the past Thirteen years with four wins